Past 
            Commentaries
          
          Current Commentary, 
            Review and Outlook
            October 23, 2009
            
          To my Clients, Friends & Observers:
          Recently  President Obama proposed sending $250 checks to 50 million Americans who will  not be receiving Social Security Cost Of Living Adjustments (COLA’s) this year.  Last year the Consumer Price Index (CPI) declined so there will be no  adjustment increase. There will be no decrease either. With trillion dollar  deficits an additional $12 ½ billion is hardly noticed.
          It  is an unfortunate reminder that for many senior citizens Social Security is not  a supplemental safety net – as it was originally intended – but a life line.  COLA’s were not created by Congress until 1975. The CPI increased 52% from 1966  to 1974. This, combined with a devaluing dollar, destroyed a retiree’s ability  to sustain the same standard of living from a fixed income. In 1973 it took  $120 to buy an ounce of gold. By 1975 it took $200. It took over $700 in 1979.  It takes $1,060 today.
          CPI  inflation from 1974 through 1980 was 82%. If you retired with a $10,000 annual  pension in 1973, it could only buy $1,800 worth of goods in 1981. You couldn’t  call your former employer to ask for an increase in your pension. But you could  call your congressman.
          Inflation,  rising prices, would be harmless if the value of the dollar rose at the same  rate; purchasing power would remain the same. But the value of the dollar is  falling, and for the same reasons today as in the 1970’s: the “Guns and Butter  Economy.” The federal government is pursuing an off-budget war while vastly  expanding the social welfare agenda. For years the Federal Reserve has been  creating too much currency, money not supported by hard assets. And more  recently, to prevent a total economic collapse, the Fed has had to provide  liquidity from the public sector that has dried up in the private sector. So  it’s déjà vu all over again but worse. America in 2009 has a “Guns and Butter  and Banks” economy. 
          If  you ever considered borrowing on the equity in your house and then saw your  equity evaporate, and if you consider that every deficient federal expenditure  is funded with borrowed money, you may quickly conclude that this cannot go on  forever. Money is not being given the respect it deserves. It is being abused.  The purchasing power of another generation of retirees is about to be wiped  out. 
          Don’t  be one of them. Call for an appointment to review your portfolio and my  investment management system. It may protect you from outliving your income,  from having to rely on Social Security.
          The  trouble with trusts
          Not  long ago, after a round of golf at beautiful Mountain Lake in Florida, I sat at  lunch with a gentleman who directed the legal compliance of a large trust  company in New England. When conversation turned to business I took the  opportunity to get his inside view of trust company operations. It was  illuminating
          Trust  companies have grown refractory over the years for the clients they are  supposed to serve. They are increasingly reluctant to enroll any clients with  less than a million dollars of investable funds. Service is slow and minimal.  What used to be a personal, familiar and caring relationship between trustee  and beneficiary has too often evolved into a cold, impersonal, calculated  exercise in time and money management. Should the settlor desire or require any  changes, including a change of corporate trustee, it will likely require  litigation at the trust’s expense. The process can take years as it will only  move at the pace of the trust company and the court system. And all this is  billable time.
          The  common experience is that fees are high and investment performance is poor,  leaving the beneficiary with dwindling assets and no recourse without spending  trust funds for lawyers.
          Trust  companies, my friend explained, are dreadfully unprofitable operations. They  are people- intensive, high contact environments. Anything other than regular  fixed disbursement of funds requires the special handling of an officer who is  intimately knowledgeable of the trust. There are regular reviews of each trust  by a committee of officers. Any changes require the committee’s consensus. On  top of the day to day mechanics there are layers of legal compliance reporting  and documentation which are often - and necessarily - redundant. These records  and documents require frequent handling. Bottom line, trust company operations  are sticky, cumbersome and expensive. The reason large commercial trust  companies treat their clients like numbers and files and fee-generators is  simple: it’s because they have to.
          Fortunately,  there are better alternatives. If you are presently using or planning a trust  and would like to discuss optimal custody for trust assets call me. 
          Best  regards,
          Dennis  M. O’Connor